Inferring Relative Permeability from Resistivity Well Logging free essay sample

Construing Relative Permeability from Resistivity Well Logging Introduction Permeability is an asset of a springy medium that gauges the limit of a substance to transmit liquids. By and large, penetrability that is applied in oil industry is consistent in Darcy’s stream condition which looks at pressure angle, stream rate and liquid properties. Be that as it may, a development has porousness in any case if the liquid is streaming or not, and as result, a straight estimation of penetrability requires a unique method as opposed to a static system. Before, well logs have been utilized to inexact penetrability through relationships that is connected to a general logged property called porosity. Perm-porosity relationships are shaped from inside and changes to well log porosity. Much of the time, these relationships are semilog in nature; that is in type of y = axb. Different connections attempt to inexact efficacious perm by including unchangeable oil immersion approximated from Archie’s condition and resistivity logs. We will compose a custom article test on Gathering Relative Permeability from Resistivity Well Logging or on the other hand any comparable theme explicitly for you Don't WasteYour Time Recruit WRITER Just 13.90/page Greater part of well logging conditions are ordinarily in static states, where attack of mud filtrate into the porous developments which finishes up after the well is logged. One of the noteworthy elements in geothermal repository building is steam-water relative penetrability. Notwithstanding, it isn't simpler to quantify steam-water relative penetrability because of stage change and mass exchange as weight changes. There are a few doctors who contended that steam-water relative porousness can be determined from the information of slim weight. This technique gives a simpler and a prudent way to deal with get steam-water relative penetrability when stood out from trial strategy. The bad mark side of this strategy is the need of estimating the steam-water slender weight that can expend a great deal of time and furthermore been troublesome much of the time. Thusly, it’s useful for researchers and architects to have a strategy so as to guess steam-water relative penetrability from resistivity data as it is simpler to compute and acquire the data of resistivity from well logging. Here is an investigation of a semianalytical model which is framed so as to gather relative penetrability from resistivity data. The relationship in between resistivity record and relative penetrability is inferred thusly. The hypothesis behind this is the relationship in between power stream in a conductive body and liquid stream in a permeable medium. Estimation of the wetting-stage relative penetrability: The conductance of a porous medium at a water immersion of 100% is: Ga = 1/Ro (1) Where Ro = the resistivity of a water immersion of 100% Ga = the conductance of a penetrable medium at a water immersion of 100% The conductance of a porous medium at a specific water immersion of S, is: Gw = 1/Ri (2) Where Ri = the resistivity Gw is the conductance at accurate water immersion of Sw As noted from comparability hypothesis in between electric stream and liquid stream, the general porousness of the wetting stage might be determined utilizing the accompanying condition: Krw = Gw = Ro = 1 (3) Ga Ri I Where I = resistivity record Krw = the overall penetrability of the wetting stage. From Archie’s condition, the accompanying condition applies: I = Ri = (Sw)? n (4) Ro Where n = the Archie’s immersion example. At the point when water immerse up to 100%, it is realized that I=1, accordingly the estimation of Krw =0, which implies that (I) pushes toward unendingness as noted from the third condition. Notwithstanding, it is obviously realized that the worth (I) don’t push toward unendingness at the extraordinary water immersion. Along these lines the estimation of Krw determined in the third condition is greater than zero, which isn’t unswerving with physical observation. Additionally, you can expect a more noteworthy worth when the general penetrability of wetting stage is determined utilizing the third condition. This is on the grounds that that the resistivity checks the normal volumetric properties of the pore bodies in a permeable medium though penetrability tallies the properties of pore throats. This is the motivation behind why you can likewise acquire porosity through resistivity well logging however not penetrability. For instance, the accompanying issue can be considered by changing condition 3 as follows: Krw = Sw †Swr 1 Swr I(5) Where Swr = the leftover immersion of the wetting stage. From condition 5, Krw = 1 at Sw = 100%, and Krw = 0 at Sw = Swr, which is sensible. The fifth condition can likewise be communicated as follows: Krw = Sw 1 (6) I Where Sw = the standardized immersion of the wetting stage and it’s communicated as follows: Sw = Sw †Swr (7) 1 Swr The general porousness of wetting stage can be determined utilizing the 6 condition from the resistivity file information soon the lingering immersion of wetting stage is acquired. You should take note of that the lingering immersion of the wetting stage might be gotten to from the exploratory estimation of resistivity. Count of the nonwetting-stage relative penetrability The wetting-stage relative porousness can be determined utilizing the Purcell approach: Krw = (Sw) 2 + ? ? (8 Where ? = the pore size dispersion list and might be determined from the information of fine weight. Subsequent to getting the relative porousness bend of the wetting stage utilizing condition six, the estimation of ? might be deduced utilizing condition eight. The overall porousness of the nonwetting stage might be determined in the wake of getting the estimation of ?. the following is the condition: Kmw = (1 Sw)? 1-(Sw) 2 + ? ? It very well may be seen that the entire relative penetrability set (wetting and nonwetting stages) may be gathered from the information of resistivity file utilizing conditions six and nine. Decision A Darcy, the principal unit of porousness in Petroleum Engineering, is characterized as the penetrability that is required to stream 1 cc/s of a liquid of 1 cp a separation of 1 cm through a cross-sectional zone of 1 sq. cm. with a weight drop of 1 atm. The watchword is â€Å"flow†. Thus, by definition the estimation of porousness must be dynamic. Despite the fact that a center without stream has an estimation of porousness, it not quantifiable without liquid stream. The connections of porousness with porosity and water immersion are constrained due to the part of the permeable media that rules penetrability; porosity and water immersion are unique. Penetrability is commanded by the littlest limitations to stream, the pore throats. Porosity and water immersion are overwhelmed by the volume inside the pore bodies, not the pore throats. Thus, connections for penetrability are innately constrained when associating to porosity and water immersion or some other stone property that is unequivocally impacted by any piece of the permeable media other than the pore throat ( Lehr and Lehr, 2000). Work Cited American Institute of Mining, Technology and Engineering, University of California, 2010. Jay H. Lehr and Janet K. Lehr, Environmental science, Health and Technology, New York: Macmillan Press. National Petroleum Council, Impact of New Technology on U.. S Petroleum Industry, Washington: Sage Press, 2000.

Legal History Essay Example | Topics and Well Written Essays - 2000 words

Lawful History - Essay Example The law is not, at this point a texture of obviously characterized ranges, yet is fairly an intricate interwoven pattern of different shades of dim. This system is significant in that it animates self-cross examination. It gets rid of the very advantageous givens of a lawful framework - that there is nevertheless one lot of right decides and that legitimate choices are nevertheless coherent results of tried rules that are observationally replicable. This is maybe the best edge to embrace as we swim through the dim waters of legitimate history - exploring through Roman and old English saxon law; and moving towards and contemplating the different subtopics, for example, criminal law and equity, tort and compensation law, and sex law. Roman law is the legitimate arrangement of old Rome, covering more than one thousand years from the twelve tables to the Corpus Juris Civilis. Vivified in enormous part by the extraordinary masterminds of now is the right time, this gives prepared model that the law is progressively an intricate interwoven pattern of the advancing attitudes of the day, than a consistent and strong stone. For instance, the incredible scholar Cicero keeps up that there was no qualification between that which was ethically acceptable and what was helpful to man. To cite from Cicero, Ideals is a propensity for the brain, reliable with nature and balance and reason. [Rhetorical Invention (bk. II, sc. LIII)] Much of this has been impacted by Platonic way of thinking which is relied on moral ethicalness as rehearsed by just rulers. In that capacity, the idea of government and obligation has underlain a lot of old law and has supported the individuals of the time in outlining their fate. The interface among law and writing and expressions of the human experience gives bits of knowledge into how lawful history was molded during the past. A great part of the law was affected by the social milieu of the time. To cite from Green (1929): It is commonly comprehended that the plays of Plautus, in view of Greek models and avowedly interpretations of Greek comedies, have been so adjusted for introduction to a Roman crowd that they present a blend of Greek and Roman components. Be that as it may, the degree to which materials of every sort are utilized has been the subject of significant conversation rather wide contradiction. Particularly is this valid with regards to the lawful inquiries engaged with the inquiries introduced. The law of compensation Another field of law which would exhibit how the law for sure is a result of emotional encounters and translations, as opposed to fixed standards is the law on compensation. The street towards tolerating free acknowledgment as an iron-clad guideline in the law of compensation may seem tempting to a few, however the same number of lawful researchers have brought up, it is a street full of numerous perils. Without a doubt, even the bigger support on which it rests - the wide idea of unjustifiable improvement - has been the wellspring of vociferous difference. So dinky are the waters that legal acknowledgment of the idea during that time has been not exactly overpowering. The farthest it has reached, as indicated by Hedley (1995) is this: an impressive number of judges presently perceive that there is a significant subject called compensation and that all in all terms, it concerns the evacuation of advantages that would some way or another shamefully enhance the litigant. It isn't hard to envision that statute encompassing the considerably more constrained rule of free acknowledgment is even smaller. Strive for all inclusiveness or even, less

Health Economics Evaluate the Effectiveness

Question: Why it is hard to assess the adequacy and cost viability of complex general wellbeing mediations in the network? Answer: Presentation A part of financial aspects which is worried about the issues identified with adequacy, worth, conduct and effectiveness in the utilization and creation of human services. Talking in more extensive terms, the wellbeing market analysts are the ones that review the activity of the social insurance frameworks likewise the bungled propensities that are destructive for the wellbeing like smoking. (Waters et. al., 2006) What is wellbeing financial matters? Financial aspects is the study of deficiency. The utilization of wellbeing financial matters imitates a widespread wish to get the most extreme conceivable worth of cash just by guaranteeing the clinical impact, alongside the cost-viability of the arrangement of the medicinal services. (Better Evaluation, 2004) Cost-adequacy Ruled by a straightforward and direct hypothetical and efficient idea; cost-adequacy, wellbeing financial aspects turns into a significant monetary hypothesis. What we mean here by estimation of cash is either a desire to acquire a foreordained objective at any rate conceivable expense or a craving to upgrade the advantage to the network of patients and furthermore expand it from a constrained or rare measure of assets. For this, it is necessitated that the administrations are tried for the cost-adequacy. Effectiveness Alongside viability, there is another related field which is productivity. Productivity gauges how great the rare assets are utilized to accomplish an ideal result (Mara et. al., 2010). Wellbeing financial aspects can help us in illuminating and improving the dynamic through the goal and deliberate utilization of something many refer to as the applied good judgment. Such an ACS, which adjusts the advantages and the expenses evenly, speaks to a method of thought for the chiefs, which is progressively important and down to business, independent of how formal or casual monetary assessment be attempted. Characterizing wellbeing results Estimating and characterizing the wellbeing results is furnished with a great deal of challenges, however these measures are exceptionally basic base of the wellbeing financial assessments/. While tending to these results, what the market analysts talk is as far as the utility, something that quantifies the quality of the people inclinations for specific target results. Results are then evaluated all as far as the expanded and improved endurance which means adding a very long time to the life and the better personal satisfaction which is adding life to the years. (WHO, 2015) Characterizing cost It is essential to make a qualification between the monetary and the budgetary ideas of cost. What the money related ideas identify with is for the most part the fiscal installments or the installments in made in real money, check, different methods, and so forth. (Better Evaluation, 2004). these are by and large connected with the cost of the administration or the great which is exchanged the spot of the market. Then again, the monetary expenses are something that have an a lot more extensive extent of the asset utilization, which is independent of the way that whether these assets are exchanged the a system of purchasers and merchants or not. The financial idea depends on mindfulness that as and when the assets are expended in certain request or way, each one of those equivalent assets at that point become meager or inaccessible for the utilization in creating different administrations. In such a case, the advantages that would have emerged consequently must be inevitable (Business Dictionary, n.d.). Assessing the adequacy of the general wellbeing intercessions The general wellbeing funders, leaders, people in general and the specialists, are particularly keen on the evidences that decides the general wellbeing and the dynamic. The choices in the general wellbeing spread a wide scope of various sort of exercises. There is a consistently expanding pattern of the worldwide volume of the essential information, changes and the exploration of all the accessible research which is particularly pertinent to explicit practices or the arrangement choices which are a compelling technique to use or orchestrate the examination endeavors. (Better Evaluation, 2004). The joint effort called the Cochrane cooperation incorporates a very efficient element which has a target to improve the amount or the nature of the general wellbeing systematic surveys through all the scope of required exercises. Cochrane audits have to a great extent and broadly gave messed up consideration to the issues identified with the mediation imbalances and values (Smith, 2010). The individuals from the cooperation engaged with the kid wellbeing, general wellbeing and the survey bunches with the specific ability in the exploration of the disparities have had altogether different impacts on the mediations in which there are specific methodological developments that are justified. This would likewise incorporate the development and the improvement of abetment to blend and concentrate the essential information which helps decreasing the populace imbalances by portraying the capacity of the mediations. (Heyne, 2009). Assessing auxiliary mediations in the general wellbeing: the alternatives, worldwide best practice and the difficulties The auxiliary mediations represent a great deal of troublesome difficulties in general wellbeing for the assessment. They work through a few roundabout ways which are frequently cross-sectoral and complex. They require programs further requiring the all-inclusive length skylines with the goal that the wellbeing impacts can be very much watched (Ross, Simkhada Smith, n.d.). These additionally require the conveyance at the zone of establishments, populaces and the networks that convey enormous ramifications or impacts to test. Additionally, the issues that identify with fields like coordinations, political possibility and morals may lessen the range or the restriction of chances for the arbitrary task that instill the utilization of separated test plans. (Philips, 2009) All things considered, the assessment is extremely significant for both the fortifying of the connection or the connection between the sound approach and the important science, alongside ensuring the open certainty regarding how limitedly the assets are completely sent (Pronyk, Schaefer, Somers Heise, 2012). It is critical to characterize the basic intercessions in the general wellbeing circle as these mediations which endeavor to take part in the complexities of the social, political and the monetary determinants of general wellbeing s a method of impacting a lot more results. These sort of intercessions work at the degree of the populaces or the gatherings and they for the most part endeavor to make sense of the danger of the malady of a person through different circuitous systems or components. The infections in the populace is to a greater extent a sort of impression of a specific degree of hazard in that network or society, rather than essentially an object of total, individual and free decisions. Such auxiliary intercessions attempt to impact such a degree of hazard by inclining the up-stream conditions and elements, with an extremely away from of making sense of or taking care of business the standards, values, wellbeing results and the practices of an enormous populace at one sin gle time. (Waters et. al., 2006) For what reason is it imperative to assess? He interest for the responsibility and the dynamic which is clear in the general wellbeing circle is ever expanding and crucial. The way that the basic intercessions in the past have been ineffectively figured uniquely all things considered or not assessed at all is grievous. The irrelevance of the assessment writing, explicitly and particularly for complex like intercessions, implies that the approach producers can be convinced in the vacuum to settle on significant choices, not going to make profits by the educated exercises of the fruitful mediations and furthermore taking a chance with the rehashed mix-ups of the predestined. (Smith, 2010) Thus unmistakably there is a critical need to improve ideas like the proof base which is required for the auxiliary mediations in the general wellbeing zone. What make the assessment troublesome? The program administrators and the strategy creators or the chiefs in the general wellbeing circle are routine of gauging, applying, and integrating new sorts of confirmations in moderately steady techniques. These ways are then vigorously affected by the understandings of the specialized, downstream and discrete mediations. In spite of the fact that, for a few reasons, the gauging proof, the ones from the basic mediations can be altogether different. This is because of such exclusive expectation assessments all the time are not right or even inaccessible. (Haycoz, 2009). Assessment in the twenty-first century The general wellbeing has a recognized and broadened record in forestalling the deadly sicknesses and furthermore protecting the soundness of the people. Certain practices are crucial for the enhancements in the wellbeing of the globe (Ross, Simkhada Smith, n.d.). These remember enhancements for clean drinking water and other sanitation offices, measures to invulnerable the control, additionally annihilation of the deadly sicknesses, the development and improvement in the well comprehension of the etiology of irresistible infections. The record has proceeded till today, for instance, the mouth and the foot malady, flu and the abrupt respiratory conditions. In spite of the fact that, the contemporary wellbeing plans proceed with the ongoing deviations from the emphasis on the deadly irresistible infections, and furthermore into ecological, financial and the conduct factors that impact the wellbeing states of the people. For instance we may state that the assessment and the investigati on of the wellbeing related impacts and the intercessions identified with the urban conditions and transport (Johns, n.d.). They call upon much separated types of different intercessions, despite the fact that they are unavoidably imperative determinants of the people wellbeing. The basic factor in upgrading of the general wellbeing in this vogue, far away from the lethal illnesses and into further det

Pre-Recorded Job Interviews Love Them Or Hate Them

Pre-Recorded Job Interviews: Love Them Or Hate Them? by: Andrea Carter on August 27, 2018 | 0 Comments Comments 666 Views August 27, 2018Photo by Firza Pratama on UnsplashAnother day, another disruption. The latest tech-driven disrupter of things comes by way of on-demand job interviewing. Business schools are reporting a noticeable spike in the number of firms bringing new meaning to the recruiting term â€Å"phone screen† as students take their first go at jobs not by telephone or in-person meeting, but by talking into a laptop, mobile phone, or tablet device for a pre-recorded dialogue of one.The rising trend goes by a handful of tag names: asynchronous recorded interviewing, on-demand video interviewing, pre-recorded video interviewing, or simply video interviewing, just to name a few. For the most part, it’s used as a first-round screening tool for companies to evaluate potential hires prior to subsequent, in-person rounds. The premise is to save time and mone y and bring added convenience for both recruiters and applicants alike. Candidates get to video record answers on their own time from the comfort of their home, dorm room, or wherever is most conducive for them, while companies have the luxury of granting way more first-round interviews than ever before.It appears to be a win-win for everyone involved. But how do undergraduate students really feel about this new way of doing things? The jury’s still out. ‘IT’S BEEN GREAT FOR ME’For some students, it’s met with rave reviews. â€Å"Having the ability to do these interviews in any location, depending on your availability has been great for me,† shares Patrick Lyons, a junior at the University of North Carolina’s Kenan-Flagler Business School. Lyons is a business administration major and entrepreneurship minor with his sights set on a career in finance. So far, he’s racked up a good seven pre-recorded video interviews. Four of these were for financial services firms, including JPMorgan which is where he’ll be interning next summer (2019). Kenan-Flagler student, Patrick Lyons, has done nearly 10 pre-recorded video interviews and says he enjoys the convenience and flexibility. Courtesy photoâ€Å"This spring, a lot of banks were using HireVue,† Lyons explains, corroborating reports from schools that financial services firms appear to be leading the way in the new trend and that HireVue is one of top-used platforms.Lyons — who’s also a UNC lacrosse player — recalls one instance where video interviewing really came in handy. â€Å"I was traveling with my team out in California and the night before a game, I had to do a pre-screen,† Lyons recalls.Formally dressed in a suit and tie, Lyons sat in his hotel room, opened his laptop, accessed the HireVue platform and proceeded to record his responses to the prompts he was given. â€Å"I saw different companies will use differen t formats, but all were similar in terms of five minutes for three questions, he says. You can be the one to decide how much time you want to spend on a question. For instance, eight minutes given by a firm doesn’t mean it’s necessary to use all eight minutes.†Lyons continues, â€Å"For me, it’s a great thing in terms of convenience. I think it’s beneficial for a lot of students who are working during college. I think it’s a great way to do interviews on their own time and be able to prepare to the best of their ability.†From the firm’s perspective, Lyons says, â€Å"I think the way investment banking is, making available time is something that’s hard for anybody in that world. Also, for consulting and a lot of fields in general. And so many people are applying these days. Flexibility in scheduling and time are huge positives both for the companies and for the students.Lyons adds, Being able to have a first screen of you r applicants from a company point of view and for students to be able to put a face to their resume and communicate who they are and what they will bring to the table.  Overall, he describes the experience favorably and says the platform and technology proved to be easy enough to use. SOME PROS AND CONS â€Å"I don’t remember the platform that was used, but you logged on to the system and there was a brief intro explaining how the system worked and gave you the option to do some practice questions.† That’s how Will Benson, another Kenan-Flagler student recalls his experience with pre-recorded interviewing. â€Å"You’re given a prompt, you read the question, and you have 30 seconds to prepare yourself and think through a response, Benson continues. After 30 seconds you have a minute and a half to three minutes to answer the question. You’re not expected to reach the full amount of time allotted, but you need to make sure you have an answer thatâ €™s concise enough to be included.† For Benson, his pre-recorded session was also a first-round screen for an internship he sought to land. He opted to use one of his school’s soundproof study rooms to record his interview and, similar to Lyons, dressed the part in a full suit and tie ensemble.â€Å"The style of questions are pretty much the same,† Benson says, comparing video interviewing to in-person interviewing. â€Å"But quite a few times I had to practice speaking to a computer and how to best organize my thoughts and be concise. In a real interview, you have a general feel of how much time to use. With this, you have to be more cognizant of how much content you should include.†   When asked for the pros and cons of video interviewing, Benson told PoetsQuants for Undergrads, â€Å"Being able to do something on your own time is a pro. If on your interview day you’re not feeling your best or most confident, you can do a pre-recorded inter view on a different day when you feel great. There’s also the benefit of being able to do it somewhere you feel comfortable; picking a spot where you generally feel confident in yourself.â€Å"As far as cons — it may be personal taste — but, for me, speaking to a computer screen is much more difficult than speaking to a person where you can read their reactions. In a pre-recorded type of interview, you don’t have much flexibility to read the situation. It makes it difficult and feels awkward at times.†All in all, the junior business administration and computer science double major concludes that convenience is beneficial, but he also enjoys human interaction. â€Å"Truthfully, he says, I enjoy speaking to people and being able to gauge people’s reactions to things that I say and having a human face to look at as opposed to looking at my computer camera.† Page 1 of 212 »

Macroeconomics And Macroeconomics Of Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics (from the Greek prefix makro- meaning large and economics) is a branch of economics dealing with the performance, structure, behavior, and decision-making of an economy as a whole, rather than individual markets. This includes national, regional, and global economies.[1][2] With microeconomics, macroeconomics is one of the two most general fields ineconomics. Macroeconomists study aggregated indicators such as GDP, unemployment rates, National income, price indices, and the interrelations among the different sectors of the economy, to better understand how the whole economy functions. Macroeconomists develop models that explain the relationship between such factors as national income, output, consumption, unemployment, inflation,savings, investment, international trade and international finance. In contrast, microeconomics is primarily focused on the actions of individual agents, such as firms and consumers, and how their behavior determines prices and quantities in specific markets While macroeconomics is a broad field of study, there are two areas of research that are emblematic of the discipline: the attempt to understand the causes and consequences of short-run fluctuations in national income (the business cycle), and the attempt tounderstand the determinants of long-run economic growth (increases in national income). Macroeconomic models and their forecasts are used by governments to assist in the development and evaluation of economic policy. BasicShow MoreRelatedMicroeconomics, Macroeconomics, And Macroeconomics1871 Words   |  8 PagesAbstract Economics is made up of two smaller categories microeconomics, and macroeconomics. Microeconomics is more of a smaller scale such as an industry while macroeconomics is on a more national level. 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To Wear a Hat free essay sample

In the fading light, the old man looked at his son. â€Å"You think Id lie to you? Son, all you need to wear a hat is attitude. And you got that. You think Id tell you you looked good if you didnt? You look real sharp. You dont believe me?† – Neil Gaiman, Anansi Boys Washington winters arent that cold, but I have a half-hour walk from Starbucks home, and I need to be warm. I have my fuzzy brown jacket and an umbrella in case it rains, but, as everyone knows, most body heat escapes through the head. Recently in New York I bought a penguin hat with ear flaps that extend to my waist, ending in mitten-pockets for my hands. I tentatively packed it into my bag today, and now I take it out and finger the seams. My mom has told me multiple times that I do have to clothe myself with a certain amount of dignity because of my responsibilities. We will write a custom essay sample on To Wear a Hat or any similar topic specifically for you Do Not WasteYour Time HIRE WRITER Only 13.90 / page A debate president, orchestra council member, and who-knows-what-else shouldnt dress like a five-year-old. Shes probably right. Looking at my penguin hat, I give myself a moment to chicken out. There is no doubt that wearing a hat like this in public will cause a potentially embarrassing stir. But I like it, and I will wear it if I want to. After quickly shaking it out, I pull it over my ears and put my hands in the mitten-pockets. It is warm, but already out of the corner of my eye, I see the barista smothering a giggle. I push open the door and start walking, past glittering storefronts and cozy restaurants. Initially, Im not sure whether to pretend to be on the phone or just look at the ground to avoid eye contact, but instead I keep my eyes in front of me and my chin level. People curiously look at me through the windows, as if Im a strange animal specimen. As I reach the main street, I feel more people staring. One man waiting at a bus stop quacks at me. A young girl tugs on her mothers hand and gleefully points out â€Å"the penguin costume.† I raise my eyebrows at her, grin, and walk by with all the poise of a concertmaster. In the wicked winter air, a little penguin breathes like a dragon and swaggers like an emperor. I do believe in me. I believe in all that is good and adorable in this world, and I believe that I can be mature whether I wear a tam-o-shanter or a toque. I believe that embarrassment stems not from the hat itself, but from hiding my face or wearing it half-heartedly. Luckily, I do neither; I walk contently across streets, under low-hanging tree branches, and up the hill to my house. I reach my front door with my dignity intact.

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